Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 79.549625 89.138807 98.959704 109.739324 121.208609 133.018524 146.069573
2025-01-05 65.911315 79.817454 94.698503 111.683573 130.413551 150.326071 172.986167
2025-01-12 55.961438 72.021030 89.792355 110.663472 134.262857 159.899798 189.639323
2025-01-19 47.370639 64.644250 84.371873 108.147724 135.629680 166.040008 201.885795
2025-01-26 43.864893 62.700972 84.746245 111.836895 143.658692 179.339156 221.872581
2025-02-02 40.428208 60.442659 84.419544 114.419609 150.177466 190.745716 239.585663
2025-02-09 35.697151 56.138605 81.266980 113.323872 152.126271 196.688615 250.881313
2025-02-16 31.579144 52.255561 78.328462 112.215772 153.831583 202.166352 261.490087
2025-02-23 28.837916 49.949697 77.176034 113.133279 157.832695 210.236546 275.041752
2025-03-02 25.986394 47.252234 75.328652 113.018935 160.448651 216.569717 286.486143
2025-03-09 23.746427 45.223098 74.207102 113.699985 163.945922 223.888082 299.050133
2025-03-16 21.075383 42.347268 71.781103 112.556344 165.058447 228.247525 308.030834
2025-03-23 19.535503 41.063638 71.472879 114.165545 169.661116 236.917030 322.292999
2025-03-30 18.263261 40.088407 71.523920 116.206217 174.793932 246.243067 337.380690
2025-04-06 16.167305 37.626063 69.342976 115.153097 175.888199 250.543917 346.349224
2025-04-13 13.853271 34.576563 66.144610 112.576366 174.900076 252.178145 352.004970
2025-04-20 13.450190 34.723757 67.596516 116.356443 182.175333 264.109329 370.264846
2025-04-27 12.786072 34.354967 68.244656 119.002279 187.959198 274.182938 386.269926
2025-05-04 11.261934 32.300337 66.251574 117.879840 188.720488 277.907636 394.438880
2025-05-11 9.880093 30.353515 64.312694 116.744639 189.396651 281.476632 402.382379
2025-05-18 9.059483 29.396885 63.858417 117.684593 192.818413 288.516961 414.632226
2025-05-25 8.097383 28.048576 62.709563 117.567456 194.779053 293.671311 424.524487
2025-06-01 7.368636 27.097914 62.147156 118.265129 197.818644 300.196503 436.130736